:: HYDROLOGIC RESEARCH CENTER : RESEARCH : APPLICATIONS ::

HRC researches the utility of forecasts for agriculture and water resources. Large-scale hydrologic-hydraulic prediction models with forecast uncertainty provide input to decision support systems developed by HRC and its collaborators. Decision support systems balance multi-objective trade-offs associated with management of each reservoir and for the entire system pertaining to inter-annual, seasonal, and operational time scales. Reservoir managers face such competing objectives as low-flow requirements for downstream uses as required by law, maximizing of power generation, limiting spillage, maintaining strict safety standards to prevent flooding, and maximizing late-season water supplies. HRC develops probabilistic measures to assess potential for benefits and provides guidance to reservoir managers, quantitatively evaluates benefits and risks associated with various operation scenarios, and studies the sensitivity of flow forecasts and reservoir management to climatic variability over scales ranging from daily to interdecadal. Utility of climate and hydrologic forecasts and their uncertainty is explored through near real-time tests of the integrated system with actual data and management input by comparing its economic and other benefits to those accruing from current management practices for the same hydrologic events. The utility of operational quality soil moisture estimates from distributed models is also examined in the context of large-scale agriculture.

Georgakakos, K.P., and T.M. Carpenter, 2005: Potential value of operationally available and spatially distributed ensemble soil water estimates for agriculture. Journal of Hydrology (in review).
Georgakakos, K.P., Bae, D.-H., and C.-S. Jeong, 2004: Utility of ten-day climate model ensemble simulations for water resources applications in Korean watersheds. Water Resources Management, 24pp (in press).
Georgakakos, K.P., and J.A. Sperfslage, 2005: Operational rainfall and flow forecasting for the Panama Canal watershed. In The Rio Chagres, Panama, A Multidisciplinary Profile of a Tropical Watershed. R.S. Harmon (ed.). Springer, New York, 355pp. (in press).
Georgakakos, K. P., Graham, N. E., Carpenter, T. M., Georgakakos, A. P. and H. Yao, 2005: Integrating Climate-Hydrology Forecasts and Multi-Objective Reservoir Management for Northern California. EOS 86(12), 122, 127.
Jeong, C.S., Heo, J.-H., Bae, D. H., and K.P. Georgakakos, 2005: Utility of high-resolution climate model simulations for water resources prediction over the Korean Peninsula, A sensitivity study. Hydrological Sciences Journal 50(1), 139-153.
Georgakakos, K.P., 2003: Probabilistic Climate-Model Diagnostics for Hydrologic and Water Resources Impact Studies, Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol.4, 92-105.(Abstract)
Georgakakos, K.P., 2002: US Corporate Technology Transfer in Hydrometeorology, Journal of Hydroinformatics, 4(1), 3-13.(Abstract)
Schwartz, S.S., 2000: "Multiobjective Management of Potomac River Consumptive Use," Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 126(5), 277-287. (Abstract)
Georgakakos, A. P., H. Yao, M.G. Mullusky and K.P. Georgakakos, 1998: Impacts of climate variability on the operational forecast and management of the upper Des Moines River basin, Water Resources Research, 34(4), 799-821. (Abstract)
Bae, D-H., K.P. Georgakakos and R. Rajagopal, 1996: Rainfall Estimation for Hydrologic Applications, Korean Journal of Hydrosciences, 7, 125-137. (Abstract)
Guetter, A.K., and K.P. Georgakakos, and A.A. Tsonis, 1996: Hydrologic Applications of Satellite Data: Part 2. Flow simulation and Soil Water Estimates, J. of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 101(D21), 26,527-26, 538. (Abstract)
Huang, J., van den Dool, H.M., and K.P. Georgakakos, 1996: "Analysis of Model-Calculated Soil Moisture over the U.S. (1931-93) and Applications in Long-Range Temperature Forecasts," J. of Climate, 9(6), 1350 1362.(Abstract)
Lee, T.H., and K.P. Georgakakos, 1996:i> "Operational Rainfall Prediction on Meso-g Scales for Hydrologic Applications," Water Resources Research, 32(4), 987-1003. (Abstract)
Tsonis, A.A., Triantafyllou, G.N., and K.P. Georgakakos, 1996: "Hydrological Applications of Satellite Data, 1, Rainfall Estimation," J. Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 101(D21), 26,517-26,525.(Abstract)
Bae, D.H., Georgakakos, K.P., and Nanda, S.K., 1995: "Operational Forecasting with Real-Time Databases," in ASCE J. Hydraulics Division, 121(1), 49-60. (Abstract)

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Applications